Confessional stuff

[Tyreese]

Tara wanted to vote out Michonne. Michonne wanted to vote out Tara. Glen's stuck in the middle with Reezy. So we decided to convince both sides that Carol should be the target. Gives us time to shore up our numbers. Next round we can jump ship to make Tara, Glen, Carl, Maggie, and myself the five person majority that carries the game to the end. I think it's a solid plan. Let's see how the next tribal plays out.

[Tyreese]

Those sneaky dogs. They think they've won. They think Reezy ain't got no more tricks up his sleeve. This next vote is gonna be hilarious.

[Tyreese]

Got that advantage yeeeee

[Tyreese]

Gonna win the challengeeee

[Tyreese]

Okay. Consensus is to vote out Daryl. I have the nullification thing that lets me turn this 4-4 tie into a 4-3 vote in our favor. We all think it'll be funny to watch Daryl use his idol on Andrea then get voted out immediately afterwards. Hopefully after this we'll all have the power and we can just run it down to four. We don't have power yet though. I got to have faith in my crew: Glen, Carl, and Tara. Any one of them could screw me, but I hope they won't.

Worth noting: I think everyone in the crew believes that I'm with them 100% within the team dynamic. Carl thinks that it's me, him, and Glen that form a core three. Glen thinks it's me and him that form the core two. Tara thinks me and her form the core two. I could be off in the way I see things, but if everyone thinks I'm with them till the end, it might turn out as a huge boon for me come endgame.

[Tyreese]

Oh man this is perfect. Not only does our alliance have firm control ... FINALLY ... but the opposite side is throwing shade on Tara saying that she's "clearly" in control and pulling all of our strings. So when we get down to just us four, who are Glen and Carl gonna want to vote out? The person everyone says they'll vote for at the end. Hopefully today was me writing my ticket for final three. As always though, I'm at the mercy of my friends. Hopefully they like Reezy enough to bring me home.

[Tyreese]

Oh man did that vote inspire some salt. The best part of it is that Daryl unwittingly is helping me out by raving about Tara and how he loves an underdog story. Once we get to four, I can go to Glen and Carl and say "Hey guys, so we can't let Tara win this right?" and boom final three. I didn't need more ammo to get to the end Daryl, but you really did me a solid on that one. Thanks bud, I owe you a beer.

[Tyreese]

Wish I had more to say than "Everything is going according to plan". I'm almost guaranteed final 4, and I think I have my cards in order to bring Glen and Carl to final 3 and then IDEALLY Glen and myself will be final 2. Glen's a decent goat, and I can hide behind the mask of "Glen and I have been buds since the swap" to explain why I want to take him. I think I'll win handily in a jury vote over Glen. Keep your fingers crossed for me.

[Tyreese]

One to go. This is the part where Andrea inexplicably wins immunity and throws a wrench into everything.

[Tyreese]

Okay. Down to four. This is uncharted territory for me. I had assumed that it was gonna be an easy-ish road from here. We were gonna vote off Tara; then I was confident that whoever won final immunity would take me to the end. HOWEVER! Last night during Live Tribal, Tara started talking to me reaffirming that me and her would be final two over and over and over. I couldn't say "Sorry girl, you're actually next" without opening a huge can of worms during TC so I had to reassure her. Now, do I stab her firmly in the back and possibly cement a vote against me, or do I keep her around one more vote and up the odds that she'll make it to the end, where she'll almost certainly win? Decisions decisions decisions ...

[Tyreese]

Tara winning is worst case scenario. Tara says she absolutely WILL NOT vote for me, so at the very least I'm looking at a tie. I'm playing the loyalty card hard on Glen right now. He knows that without me this alliance wouldn't have made it to the end, but I can't come out and say that. I'm just laying it on thick with the sentimentality and hoping he realizes that he can't get rid of his closest ally and best friend this late in the game without looking like a total flake. He asks me questions like "Am I a goat?" and I feed him one semi-true answer ("Carl is less of a threat at the end than you") while in my head I'm thinking the even-more-diabolical truth: "No Glen, you're not a goat. You're a means to my end. I know that with a final three of me, you, and Tara, I'm guaranteed final 2, and I think I could beat either one of you."

[Tyreese]

Jury scenarios
Tyreese/Glen:
Maggie - Toss-up (Literally don't know Maggie's motivation)
Daryl - Toss-up (Voted out before I started going jury management, but probably respects my game more)
Shane - Tyreese (Made amends before he was voted out)
Michonne - Tyreese (Explained myself to her; Glen did no such thing)
Andrea - Tyreese (Defended her at Live TC)
Carl - Tyreese (Respects me more)
Tara - Tyreese (Respects me more)

Tyreese/Tara:
Maggie - Tara (Tribe bonds)
Daryl - Tara (Was not managed)
Shane - Tyreese
Michonne - Toss-up
Andrea - Tyreese
Carl - Tyreese
Glen - Tyreese

These could be wrong, but that's how I see this playing out if things are the way I think they are.

[Tyreese]

HOLY SHIT I SCRAPED BY! Write-up about what just happened incoming ...

[Tyreese]

So last night after the challenge I knew I was on the hot seat. I also knew that if anyone could scramble out of the hot seat, I could. A quick gauge of how everyone felt led me to realize that the vote was between me and Carl with me looking like the most obvious target. I tried to make the obvious scramble of getting Tara and Glen on my side against Carl. I laid the groundwork and went to bed.

When I talked to Tara and Glen today, I was extremely unsure. Glen told me straight up that he was voting for me. Tara told me she was voting for Carl and could force a tie for me, but something seemed off. I talked to Carl about it, and we revealed to each other that Tara was playing both of us against one another. We both expressed fear of having to face each other in a tiebreaker competition, so we hatched a plan: Both of us would vote for Glen and the result would either be 2-1-1 Glen or a 2-2 tie between myself and Glen, pending Tara's vote. I was much more confident facing Glen in a tiebreaker, and Carl would face no risk if the plan went off without a hitch. It was mutually beneficial.

Sidebar
The Prisoner's Dilemma is a famous example in game theory as to why two people whose best interest is to cooperate might not do so if one stands to gain more from betraying the other. Carl and I in creating this plan had created a textbook Prisoner's Dilemma. If either one of us now voted for the other, that person would be more safe than if he hadn't screwed the other, and obviously the person who got screwed would be out. Carl and I both merged from the Prison Group. Irony definitely plays a big role in this game sometimes.

So after Carl and I made our deal, Tara comes to me with this long emotional message about how whatever she decides to do, she hopes I'll understand and respect her decision, basically a "Sorry but I'm gonna vote you out Reezy" diatribe. Well Reeze ain't one to take that lying down. I promised Tara that if she voted for Carl, I would take her to the end if I won final 3 immunity. I did this knowing that she would never receive a similar offer from Carl or Glen; neither of them would have a chance against her at the end. She said she would vote for Carl. Of course, she thought she was forcing a tie. She had no idea me and Carl planned to flip the script to save both our asses.

Still, this TC was nerve-wracking. If Carl betrayed me, I was out. If Tara betrayed me, I was going into a tiebreaker with Glen. BUT REEZUS LIVES! Just have to survive one more vote and I'll be able to state my case to the Jury, and if this last round is any indication, I think I can be pretty convincing.

[Tyreese]

Posting to check my computer clock vs. the forum clock